UFC Fight Night 160: Jack Hermansson vs Jared Cannonier Odds & Picks


Jack Hermansson
Jack Hermansson
20-4-0
2:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 28, 2019
Royal Arena, Copenhagen Denmark
Jared Cannonier
Jared Cannonier
12-4-0
TV: ESPN, TSN
UFC Fight Night 160: Jack Hermansson vs Jared Cannonier Odds & Picks

Jack Hermansson vs Jared Cannonier

Jack Hermansson takes on Jared Cannonier at the main event of UFC Fight Night 160 on September 28, 2019, at the Royal Arena in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Jack Hermansson is a former Cage Warriors and Warrior Fight Series champion who also fought in the Bellator promotion. He is currently ranked 5th in the UFC’s middleweight division, making his way to the top after fighting in several independent promotions in Europe and the United States. The 31-year old from Sweden has an MMA record of 20-4 with 11 knockouts and 5 wins by submission. The Joker stands 6-1 with a reach of 77 ½ inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. Hermansson has won four fights in a row, three via stoppage. He has lost just twice in nine total fight under the UFC banner.

Jared Cannonier is the 9th ranked middleweight in the UFC. He was the former Alaska Fighting Championships heavyweight champion and also fought in the light heavyweight division when he defeated Ion Cutelaba at the Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions finale in 2016. The Killa Gorilla stands 5-11 with a reach of 77 inches and fights out of the orthodox stance. The 35-year old from Dallas, Texas has a record of 12-4 with 8 knockouts and 2 submission victories. Cannonier has lost half of his last six bouts but is coming off back to back victories over David Branch and Anderson Silva.

Jack Hermansson Tale of the tape Jared Cannonier
31 Age 35
1.85 m Height 1.8 m
83.9 kg Weight 83.9 kg
196.8 cm Reach 196.8 cm

Prediction

Hermansson is coming off back to back victories over Jacare Souza and David Branch which have put him in the Top 5 in the 185-pound weight class. The Joker is on a four-fight winning streak and has not lost since May 2018. Hermansson is 7-2 overall in the UFC  and a win over Cannonier should put him in line for a shot at the title. Cannonier is also on a two-bout winning streak but his win over Anderson Silva came after the Brazilian suffered a leg injury. Still, the consecutive wins over the Spider and David Branch give him plenty of confidence heading to this contest as a win over Hermansson should put him in the rankings.

The Killa’ Gorilla is a very tough fighter who has an incredibly durable chin. He can absorb plenty of punishment and still push forward. He has true knockout power and is very strong for the middleweight division. But Hermansson is the better fighter here. He has excellent footwork and has nice hand speed for a big man. He sets up his takedowns nicely and is a very capable wrestler. On his feet, the Joker picks his punches well and mixes combinations with powerful shots. I think Hermansson has more in his toolbox and he has more ways to win this match than Cannonier. 

Pick: Jack Hermansson -220

 

Gunnar Nelson vs Thiago Alves

Gunnar Nelson is Connor McGregor’s teammate at SBG Ireland and was a silver medalist at the 2009 World Jiu-Jitsu Championships (Gi) where he was awarded the black belt by no less than Renzo Gracie. Nelson was also a one-time North American Grappling Association world champion.The 31-year old known as Gunni stands 5-11 and has a reach of 72 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. He has a record of 17-4-1 with three knockouts and 13 wins by submission. Nelson has lost half of his last eight bouts and is coming off a split decision loss to Leon Edwards last March 2019.

Thiago Alves is a UFC veteran who once challenged Georges St. Pierre for the UFC welterweight title at UFC 100. He earned that shot by defeating Josh Koscheck in a title eliminator but lost to GSP via unanimous decision. Aside from fighting, Alves is also a striking coach at the American Top Team since 2017. The 35-year old Pitbull from Brazil stands 5-9 and has a reach of 68 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. He has a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and has a record of 23-14 with 13 knockouts and 1 submission win. Alves is 2-5 in his last seven bouts and is fresh off a loss to Laureano Staropoli at UFC 237 last May.

Gunnar Nelson Tale of the tape  Thiago Alves
31 Age 35
1.8 m Height 1.75 m
77.1 kg Weight 77.1 kg
182.9 cm Reach 177.8 cm

Prediction

Nelson lost to Leon Edwards in his last bout but it was a good fight and Gunni showed just how fearless and tough he is. He is 3-2 in his last five bouts but has looked good even in the fights that he’s lost. This man has been fighting since he was 13 and his background in Karate and his BJJ black belt make him ever-dangerous inside the cage. Given his recent form, it’s just a matter of time until he wins again. Gunnis is the UFC betting favorite against Alves. Alves is also heading to this fight after a loss. He defeated Max Griffin in Fortaleza last February but lost to Laureano Staropoli in Rio Janeiro in May. Alves has lost three out of his last five bouts and you bet he’ll be fighting for his life here. Alves is known as the Pitbull and that’s how he fights. He fought mostly at lightweight but now feels better at 170 pounds. His leg kicks are dangerous but I think Nelson is too smart for the Brazilian.

Gunni is going to make Alves fight in the clinch and he’s going to limit his striking ability and take away his power. I think that Nelson is going to gorilla his way here, frustrate Alves and grind out the victory. I’m picking Gunnar Nelson to beat Thiago Alves. 

Pick: Gunnar Nelson -450 (Bovada)

Hermansson vs Cannonier Odds

Hour Team Opening BOVADA.LV BetOnline Intertops
6:00p
Jared Cannonier
Jack Hermansson
draw
5:30p
Thiago Alves
Gunnar Nelson
draw

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