UFC 242: Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Dustin Poirier Odds & Picks


Khabib Nurmagomedov
Khabib Nurmagomedov
27-0-0
2:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 7, 2019
The Arena, Yas Island, Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates
Dustin Poirier
Dustin Poirier
25-5-0, 1NC
TV: PPV
UFC 242: Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Dustin Poirier Odds & Picks

Khabib Nurmagomedov (-333) Vs Dustin Poirier (+225)

UFC 242 features a big-time main event in an exotic locale. UFC Lightweight Champion Khabib Nurmagomedov battles interim belt-holder Dustin Poirier in what should be a tremendous matchup. This bout will be in Abu Dhabi, so both men face a daunting road-trip. So far, no one has really been able to hang in there with Khabib. He served a suspension, and in the meanwhile, Poirier scored a big win over champion Max Holloway to become to the next challenger for Khabib. Does Khabib have his hands full with the improved veteran, or will we see another dominating performance from the champion?

Hour Team Opening BOVADA.LV BetOnline Intertops
10:15a
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Dustin Poirier
draw
Lightweight Champion Khabib Nurmagomedov takes on Dustin Poirier for the UFC belt on September 7. Khabib last fought in October of 2018 when he scored a 4th-round submission over Conor McGregor. Unable to defend due to a suspension, he makes his return here in a dangerous matchup with Poirier. At 30, the same age as Khabib, Poirier has hit the sweet-spot in his career and is on a nice roll. Anyone overlooking him would be doing so at their own risk. In his last handful of fights, he has looked like a tough man to beat. But he has a mountain of a task ahead of him in this fight against the champion.
 
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Tale of the tape
 Dustin Poirier
30 Age 30
1.78 m Height 1.75 m
70.3 kg Weight 70.3 kg
177.8 cm Reach 182.9 cm

At this point, betting against Khabib has yielded precisely jack-squat. It comes down to whether the price is good enough. Poirier’s quote of +295 is both appetizing and disappointing. I mean, you can just go win two straight hands of blackjack and get a better return than that. By the same token, it’s hard to sneeze at nearly 3-to-1 for someone as good as Poirier.

With all his skills and experience, not to mention his character and inner-resource, he probably shouldn’t be 3-to-1 against any human near his weight. I just don’t see the Khabib train coming to a stop in this spot. I think the location favors him, as Poirier hasn’t had any road-trips like this, while Khabib has been forced to be a globetrotter in his career. But beyond that, he’s an irresistible force, and his margin for error is wider than Poirier’s. I see Khabib getting the upper hand in this one.

Pick: Khabib Nurmagomedov -370 (Bovada)

Khabib Vs Poirier Odds - Main Card

Hour Team Opening BOVADA.LV BetOnline Intertops
10:15a
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Dustin Poirier
draw
12:00p
Paul Felder
Edson Barboza
draw
10:15a
Islam Makhachev
Davi Ramos
draw
10:15a
Curtis Blaydes
Shamil Abdurakhimov
draw
10:15a
Diego Ferreira
Mairbek Taisumov
draw

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