North Carolina Tar Heels vs Louisville Cardinals Vegas Odds and NCAA Basketball Expert Picks


North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels
20-7 (4-4 V)
8:15 pm ET, Saturday, February 17, 2018
KFC Yum! Center, Louisville
Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals
18-8 (14-3 H)
ESPN
 
North Carolina Tar Heels vs Louisville Cardinals Vegas Odds and NCAA Basketball Expert Picks

Louisville hosts No. 14 North Carolina on Saturday night in what is likely the Cardinals' biggest home game of the season.

The Tar Heels team that Louisville (18-8, 8-5 ACC) will face Saturday (8 p.m. ET, ESPN) is a far cry from the one that ended January with a 5-5 ACC league record. Since then, North Carolina has a 31-point win over Pittsburgh, a 17-point win over Notre Dame, a victory at North Carolina State and a win over rival Duke.

The biggest difference for Roy Williams? Defense.

The Tar Heels (20-7, 9-5) gave up 42 3-pointers during a three-game losing streak back in January. Since then, they've been much better at forcing teams away from the 3-point line.

Louisville isn't a great 3-point threat. The Cardinals are 11th in the league in 3-point field goal percentage (35.4) and 3s made per game (7.6). But the Cardinals will regain the service of wing Deng Adel, the team's leading scorer, who has missed the last two games with an ankle injury.

Padgett said Adel started with individual workouts and has since transitioned to more practice in the last couple days.

With Adel, the Cardinals are one of the top teams in the league in terms of scoring and one of the few teams in the country who can stick with North Carolina in terms of rebounding. Padgett said that even though the Tar Heels have been using a smaller lineup than in previous years, they still rebound extremely well.

Padgett explained his team will have to be smart about when to crash the glass because UNC is so good at transition offense.

Saturday's showdown is a key matchup for the Cardinals. They are still searching for a current Top 25 win and have just a pair of the Quadrant 1 wins that the NCAA Selection Committee wants to see. A win over the Tar Heels would likely assure the Cardinals an at-large bid.

The atmosphere in the KFC Yum! Center is expected to be electric. Louisville fans are planning a "White Out," with every fan in the arena expected to wear white.

If things go poorly for the Tar Heels, it may force Williams to end his timeout streak. He hasn't called a timeout in more than 140 minutes of game action, last using one in the first half of the Pittsburgh game on Feb. 3.

As crucial as Saturday's game is for Louisville, don't expect Padgett to join Rick Pitino's tradition of wearing a white suit.

 

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Louisville Cardinals VDB Sport Betting Odds and Predictions

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Louisville Cardinals Betting Odds

  Spread MoneyLine Total
North Carolina Tar Heels +1 (-115) - 156 (-110)o
Louisville Cardinals -1 (-105) - 156 (-110)u

Vegas Daily Betting Free Prediction: North Carolina 80, Louisville 74

 


 

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Louisville Cardinals VDB Sport Betting Matchup Report

 

Team Records

North Carolina Tar Heels

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 20-7 14-2 6-5 15-10-1 11-4 4-6-1 83.30 73.33 9.97
Last 10 7-3 5-1 2-2 6-4 5-1 1-3 83.10 76.80 6.30
vs Conf 9-5 7-1 2-4 7-6-1 6-2 1-4-1 80.64 74.64 6.00

Louisville Cardinals

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 18-8 15-3 3-5 13-10-1 8-8 5-2-1 78.19 68.96 9.23
Last 10 6-4 4-2 2-2 6-3-1 3-3 3-0-1 80.80 73.40 7.40
vs Conf 8-5 5-2 3-3 9-3-1 4-3 5-0-1 79.00 71.38 7.62

Betting Odds Trends

North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games
North Carolina is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
North Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of North Carolina's last 10 games on the road
North Carolina is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Louisville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Louisville

Louisville Cardinals

Louisville is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Louisville is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 7 games
Louisville is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Louisville is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing North Carolina

Injuries

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Jalek Felton G Out indefinitely - Suspension - 1/30/18 Felton is serving a suspension for an unspecified reason and his return to the team is unclear.

Louisville Cardinals

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Deng Adel F Prob Sat - Ankle - 2/17/18 Adel has sat out the last two games due to an ankle injury but is expected to participate in Saturday's contest against UNC.
Brian Bowen II G out for season - Suspension - 2/11/18 Bowen II is serving a season-ending suspension for conduct detrimental to the program.

Recent Meetings

Date Home Away Line ATS
2/22/17 UNC 74 LOU 63 -7.5/155 UNC/U
2/1/16 LOU 71 UNC 65 -1.5/147.5 LOU/U
3/12/15 LOU 60 UNC 70 2.5/140 UNC/U
1/31/15 LOU 78 (OT) UNC 68 -5/148 LOU/U
1/10/15 UNC 72 LOU 71 -3/140 LOU/O
11/24/13 LOU 84 UNC 93 -10/149.5 UNC/O
3/29/08 UNC 83 LOU 73 -5.5/153 UNC/O
12/23/99 LOU 97 UNC 80 1.5/151 LOU/O
12/17/98 UNC 77 LOU 72 -10.5/145 LOU/O
12/3/97 UNC 81 LOU 72 -15/149 LOU/O

North Carolina: Last 10 Games

Date vs Score Line ATS UNC FG Opp FG Reb
2/12/18 ND 83-66 (W) -10/151.5 WU 32/60 22/58 38-25
2/10/18 @NCST 96-89 (W) -4/161.5 WO 40/71 35/64 37-20
2/8/18 DUKE 82-78 (W) -1.5/167.5 WU 30/77 30/62 41-34
2/3/18 PITT 96-65 (W) -23.5/141.5 WO 36/70 23/60 43-24
1/30/18 @CLEM 78-82 (L) -2/144.5 LO 28/62 24/61 36-31
1/27/18 NCST 91-95 (L) (OT) -12.5/161 LO 38/72 34/76 41-30
1/22/18 @VT 69-80 (L) -3.5/163.5 LU 27/63 30/63 32-34
1/20/18 GT 80-66 (W) -13.5/140 WO 28/66 29/60 42-22
1/16/18 CLEM 87-79 (W) -7.5/147 WO 26/51 27/56 26-24
1/13/18 @ND 69-68 (W) -5/146.5 LU 26/61 23/66 35-40

Louisville: Last 10 Games

Date vs Score Line ATS LOU FG Opp FG Reb
2/11/18 @PITT 94-60 (W) -11/135 WO 34/54 20/58 33-26
2/8/18 GT 77-54 (W) -7/135.5 WU 27/54 20/55 32-34
2/5/18 SYR 73-78 (L) -7/132 LO 24/52 25/53 31-32
2/3/18 FSU 76-80 (L) -4/156.5 LU 25/59 27/60 34-40
1/31/18 @UVA 64-74 (L) 10/125.5 PO 25/50 29/54 24-22
1/27/18 WAKE 96-77 (W) -9/145 WO 36/71 29/61 32-38
1/24/18 @MIA 75-78 (L) (OT) 4.5/139 WO 27/65 24/65 35-48
1/21/18 BC 77-69 (W) -10/146 LP 23/57 23/65 42-39
1/16/18 @ND 82-78 (W) (OT) 2.5/140.5 WO 30/61 30/79 33-44
1/13/18 VT 94-86 (W) -5/148.5 WO 31/59 30/61 34-29

 

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