New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Thursday Night Football Betting Odds and Free NFL Predictions


New England Patriots
New England Patriots
2-2-0 (1-0-0 V)
8:25 pm ET, Thursday, October 5, 2017
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2-1-0 (2-0-0 H)
CBS. LINE: Patriots -5.5. O/U: 55.5
 
New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Thursday Night Football Betting Odds and Free NFL Predictions

The New England Patriots appear vulnerable after a 2-2 start, which includes a historically bad run of defense through the first four games.

But don't tell that to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Heading into Thursday night's game against the Patriots at Raymond James Stadium, the Bucs (2-1) are giving full respect to the defending Super Bowl champions.

"I would expect those (defensive) issues would all be taken care of by Thursday night," Bucs coach Dirk Koetter said. "They've got fantastic cover guys. What's tough about them is they're an amoeba defense. They can play any personnel group. They've always been able to adjust. They can switch at halftime. They've always been a difficult team to prepare for."

Through four games, though, including Sunday's 33-30 home defeat against the Carolina Panthers, the Patriots are off to their worst defensive start under coach Bill Belichick. They have allowed 128 points and 1,827 total yards, an average of 32 points and 456.8 yards per game.

According to STATS, since the 1970 NFL merger, it's the most points allowed in the first four games by a team that had the best scoring defense in the previous season.

"Collectively, we've got to do a lot better," Belichick said. "We've got to coach better. The players have to execute better."

Said Patriots safety Duron Harmon: "Obviously, what we're doing is not good enough. In my five years here, we've prided ourselves on being a smart and tough football team, especially defensively. We're just not doing it. ... Like I said, obviously, it's not enough."

Patriots linebacker Dont'a Hightower said it's mostly about the small details.

"The big plays and all that stuff, obviously, it's easy for guys to see that," Hightower said. "But it's the small things that happen ... getting that little bit of extra pressure on the quarterback, that extra knock on the center on the quick jam at the line of scrimmage.

"All the little things matter right now. Don't take things for granted, you know? Appreciate every little thing and be knowledgeable of each small detail."

Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston said he expects to get New England's best shot.

"We've got to be real with ourselves and know this is a week-to-week league," Winston said. "Teams are going to come back with a better plan. They're not going to just allow teams to get yards on them. They have a great coach, a great quarterback, a great defense."

The Patriots defense might be the focal point, but New England quarterback Tom Brady also has Winston's attention.

Growing up in Bessemer, Ala., Winston said he studied great quarterbacks. In a young Winston's eyes, Brady separated himself from the pack.

Winston said he's looking forward to meeting Brady for the first time.

"Getting a chance to witness greatness in front of us, Tom Brady coming into town, that gets you pumped up, definitely," Winston said. "I'm thinking, what am I going to say to him when I see him and meet him?'"

Winston said Brady's ability to protect the football and take advantage of opportunities has been "impeccable."

Brady is off to another huge individual start with a 66.5 completion percentage, 10 touchdowns, no interceptions and 1,399 yards in four games. With a victory on Thursday night, Brady (185-54) will tie Brett Favre (186-112) and Peyton Manning (186-79) for the most regular-season wins in NFL history.

Meanwhile, Belichick said Koetter has done "arguably as good as any coach has done with any quarterback in the first two years of a career," pointing out Winston's 4,000-yard passing seasons to start his NFL tenure.

Winston came up big in Sunday's 25-23 home win against the New York Giants, going 5-for-5 on the final drive that led to Nick Folk's game-winning 34-yard field goal as time expired.

Overall, Winston was 22-for-38 with 332 yards and three touchdowns against the Giants.

But Winston said he needs to do a better job of targeting wide receiver DeSean Jackson, a free-agent acquisition who has struggled to get opportunities. Jackson has just nine receptions in three games.

"I just have to get on track with him and I have to play better in all respect(s)," Winston said. "He has been open. It's obvious I have to get him the ball. He's going to make this team better.

"He's a big-time player who makes big-time plays at big-time moments. He's more happy winning than anything else."

The Bucs dialed up a winning effort against the Giants, despite playing without two starting linebackers, Kwon Alexander and Lavonte David. Neither player practiced on Monday or Tuesday, making it unlikely they would play against New England. If that's the case, rookie Kendell Beckwith again will start at middle linebacker and call the defensive signals.

Offensively, Tampa Bay running back Doug Martin returns after a four-game suspension for violating the NFL's policy on performance-enhancing drugs (he sat out the final week of 2016). Koetter wouldn't speculate how much Martin will be used.

But in the three games without Martin, who had a pair of 1,000-yard rushing seasons in his previous five years, the Bucs averaged just 84.7 yards on the ground (26th in the NFL).

VDB Free Betting Prediction:  Patriots 30, Buccaneers 27

 

 

New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers VDB Sport Betting Odds and Matchup Report

New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers VDB Betting Odds

  Spread MoneyLine Total
New England Patriots -6 (-115) -250 54½ (-110)o
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 (-105) +210 54½ (-110)u

Team Records

New England Patriots

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 2-2 1-2 1-0 1-3 0-3 1-0 32.25 32.00 0.25
vs Conf 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-2 0-2 0-0 31.50 37.50 -6.00
vs Div 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Last 3 2-1 1-1 1-0 1-2 0-2 1-0 34.00 28.67 5.33

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 2-1 2-0 0-1 1-2 1-1 0-1 23.67 21.33 2.34
vs Conf 2-1 2-0 0-1 1-2 1-1 0-1 23.67 21.33 2.34
vs Div 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Last 3 2-1 2-0 0-1 1-2 1-1 0-1 23.67 21.33 2.34


Betting Odds Trends

New England Patriots
New England is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
New England is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing New England


Injuries

New England

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Rob Gronkowski TE Ques Thurs - Thigh - 10/4/17 Gronkowski is debilitated with a thigh injury and it is undetermined if he will participate in Thursday's matchup against the Buccaneers.
Marcus Cannon OL Ques Thurs - Ankle - 10/3/17 Cannon is bothered by an ankle injury and it is undetermined if it will prevent him playing against the Buccaneers on Thursday.
Stephon Gilmore CB Ques Thurs - Ankle - 10/3/17 Gilmore has an ankle injury and his status for Thursday's game against the Buccaneers is undecided.
Dont'a Hightower LB Ques Thurs - Knee - 10/3/17 Hightower is battling a linger knee injury and it is uncertain if it will hinder his availability against the Buccaneers on Thursday.
Brandon King DB Ques Thurs - Hamstring - 10/3/17 King exited the previous contest due to an injured hamstring and it is undetermined if he will participate in Thursday's game against the Buccaneers.
Elandon Roberts LB Ques Thurs - Ankle - 10/3/17 Roberts was forced from the last game due to an ankle injury and it is uncertain if it will prevent him from suiting up against the Buccaneers on Thursday.
Matthew Slater WR Ques Thurs - Hamstring - 10/3/17 Slater has sat out his fourth-consecutive game due to a hamstring injury and it is undetermined if he will make his season debut Thursday against the Buccaneers.
Eric Rowe DB Out Thurs - Groin - 10/4/17 Rowe left the last game with an injured groin and will not play Thursday against the Buccaneers.
Rex Burkhead RB Out Thurs - Ribs - 10/4/17 Burkhead has been held out of the past two games due to injured ribs and will not take the field against the Buccaneers on Thursday.
Shea McClellin LB I-R - Undisclosed - 9/4/17 McClellin has been placed on the injured reserve list with an unspecified injury.
Malcolm Mitchell WR Ques Week 10 - Knee - 9/7/17 Mitchell is hampered by a knee injury and is on the injured reserve list. It is undetermined if he will be activated Week 10 against the Broncos.
Vincent Valentine DT Elig Week 12 - Knee - 9/22/17 Valentine has landed on the injured reserve list with a knee injury. He will be eligible to be activated against the Dolphins during Week 12.
Keionta Davis DL I-R - Neck - 9/3/17 Davis has been designated for injured reserve as he is recovering from a bulging disc in his neck.
Tony Garcia OL Ques Week 7 - Illness - 9/3/17 Garcia has landed on the Injured Reserve/Non-Football Illness list with an unspecified illness.
Cyrus Jones CB I-R - Knee - 9/3/17 Jones suffered a torn ACL in his right knee and is on injured reserve as a result.
Julian Edelman WR I-R - Knee - 9/3/17 Eldeman tore the ACL in his right knee and is on the injured reserve list.
Derek Rivers DE I-R - Knee - 8/20/17 Rivers is on injured reserve after suffering a torn ACL in his left knee.
Andrew Jelks OL Ques Week 7 - Knee - 9/3/17 Jelks has landed on the Injured Reserve/Non-Football Injury list due to a knee injury and it is uncertain if he will be activated October 22 against the Falcons.

Tampa Bay

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Keith Tandy S Doub Thurs - Hip - 10/4/17 Tandy left the previous game due to an injured hip and is not expected to play against the Patriots on Thursday.
T.J. Ward S Doub Thurs - Hip - 10/4/17 Ward sat out the last game due to a hip injury and is unlikely to be in the lineup Thursday against the Patriots.
Lavonte David LB Late Oct - Knee - 9/25/17 David suffered a left medial-ankle sprain and is expected to be out of action for at least one month.
Kwon Alexander LB Out Thurs - Hamstring - 10/4/17 Alexander has been held out of the previous two games with a hamstring injury and will not suit up against the Patriots on Thursday.
DaVonte Lambert DL I-R - Wrist - 9/1/17 Lambert has been placed on the injured reserve with a dislocated wrist.
Stevie Tu'ikolovatu DT I-R - Knee - 9/1/17 Tu'ikolovatu has been placed on the injured reserve with an injured MCL and meniscus in his right knee.
Ryan Griffin QB Ques Week 9 - Shoulder - 9/4/17 Griffin has been placed on the injured reserve list due to a sprained AC joint in his shoulder and it is unclear if he will play Week 9 against the Saints.
Justin Trattou DE I-R - Undisclosed - 8/28/17 Trattou has landed on the injured reserve list with an unspecified ailment.

Recent Meetings

  New England Tampa Bay
Date Away/Home Line ATS Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
9/22/13 TB (3) - NE (23) -7.5/44.5 NE/U 358 156 202 323 97 226
8/16/13 TB (21) - NE (25) -3/41 NE/O 382 139 243 318 158 160
8/24/12 NE (28) - TB (30) 7/44 TB/O 342 168 174 283 132 151
8/18/11 NE (31) - TB (14) -1.5/38 NE/O 383 200 183 244 64 180
10/25/09 NE (35) - TB (7) 15.5/44.5 NE/U 414 107 307 240 89 151
8/17/08 NE (10) - TB (27) -1/33.5 TB/O 174 56 118 295 170 125
8/10/07 NE (10) - TB (13) -2.5/34 TB/U 213 89 124 279 169 110
12/17/05 TB (0) - NE (28) -6/38 NE/U 336 83 253 138 30 108
8/25/01 NE (3) - TB (20) -6.5/32 TB/U 0 0 0 0 0 0
9/3/00 TB (21) - NE (16) 3/35.5 TB/O 88 88 0 140 140 0

New England  Last 10

  Yards Per Play
Date vs Score Line ATS Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
10/1/17 CAR L 30-33 -9/48 L/O -71 -60 -11 -1.8 -0.6 -4.0
9/24/17 HOU W 36-33 -13.5/44.5 L/O -21 -66 45 0.8 -1.0 0.8
9/17/17 @ NO W 36-20 -5.5/55 W/O 126 38 88 1.0 -0.9 3.4
9/7/17 KC L 27-42 -8/47.5 L/O -166 -61 -105 -3.4 -3.3 -3.2
8/31/17 NYG L 38-40 -2.5/37 L/O -62 -55 -7 -0.0 -0.7 -0.2
8/25/17 @ DET W 30-28 -0/44 W/O -24 18 -42 0.1 -0.1 1.4
8/19/17 @ HOU L 23-27 -1/41.5 L/O 72 30 42 -0.1 0.9 -1.7
8/10/17 JAC L 24-31 -3/38.5 L/O -21 -91 70 -2.0 -1.6 -5.8
2/5/17 @ ATL W 34-28 -3/57 W/O 202 0 202 -2.2 -1.6 -3.4
1/22/17 PIT W 36-17 -5.5/50 W/O 63 3 60 0.8 -0.6 2.2

Tampa Bay  Last 10

  Yards Per Play
Date vs Score Line ATS Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
10/1/17 NYG W 25-23 -2.5/45.5 L/O 55 20 35 2.2 1.6 2.6
9/24/17 @ MIN L 17-34 -0/41 L/O -152 -99 -53 -0.1 -0.5 -3.3
9/17/17 CHI W 29-7 -7/44 W/U 1 97 -96 -0.3 2.2 -0.2
8/31/17 WAS L 10-13 -2.5/36 L/U -118 -57 -61 -1.0 -0.2 -2.1
8/26/17 CLE L 9-13 -4/41 L/U -50 -56 6 -0.2 -1.4 0.6
8/17/17 @ JAC W 12-8 -2.5/40 W/U 67 73 -6 0.0 1.1 -0.2
8/11/17 @ CIN L 12-23 1.5/37 L/U 14 -34 48 -0.6 -0.1 -2.4
1/1/17 CAR W 17-16 -3/44.5 L/U -35 -16 -19 -0.2 0.5 -1.1
12/24/16 @ NO L 24-31 3/53 L/O -68 -34 -34 -0.2 0.3 -1.2
12/18/16 @ DAL L 20-26 7/47.5 W/U -173 -133 -40 -1.6 -3.2 -0.9