LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels Betting Odds and Free College Football Picks


LSU Tigers
LSU Tigers
5-2 (2-1 V)
7:15 pm ET, Saturday, October 21, 2017
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels
3-3 (3-0 H)
ESPN
 
LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels Betting Odds and Free College Football Picks

Ole Miss' passing offense is humming and No. 24 LSU is trying to get its rushing offense to do the same as these longtime rivals meet Saturday night at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Miss.

The Rebels (3-3, 1-2 SEC) lead the conference in passing yards per game at 357.2 -- 70 more than the next-best passing offense (Missouri). LSU (5-2, 2-1) ranks sixth in rushing yards per game (191) and has a chance for a breakout game.

"They've got one of the best quarterbacks that we're going to face in the country in Shea Patterson," LSU coach Ed Orgeron said of Ole Miss. "Probably the best group of receivers we've seen."

Rebels wide receivers A.J. Brown and DaMarkus Lodge have each caught six touchdown passes, and Brown is averaging 19.4 yards per catch and Lodge 18.2. Patterson completes 65.8 percent of his passes with 17 touchdowns and six interceptions.

Tigers cornerbacks Greedy Williams, Donte Jackson and Kevin Toliver II all played a big part in shutting out Auburn in the second half last week as LSU rallied from an early 20-0 deficit to prevail 27-23.

They're the main reasons LSU is second in the SEC in passes defensed (35). It's also second in sacks and fifth in passing yards allowed (170.6). Only one opponent (Syracuse) has passed for more than 180 yards against the Tigers.

"They know the stakes are high for us as a football team," Orgeron said of his cornerbacks. "They know the stakes are high for them as individuals, especially going against the great receivers that Ole Miss has."

The Tigers' ground game has been hampered by injuries to running backs Derrius Guice and Darrel Williams, and tackles K.J. Malone and Toby Weathersby. Guice and Williams have been playing, though limited, but Malone and Weathersby missed the Auburn game. Malone is unlikely to play this week, but Weathersby has returned to practice and has a better chance of playing.

LSU has run the ball well enough the last two weeks to beat two ranked teams -- Florida, which was 20th, and Auburn, which was 10th.

In both games, the most explosive runs were made by wide receivers on speed sweeps.

"Obviously we want to get our running game better inside the tackles," Orgeron said.

The running backs and the receivers should be able to accumulate more than their average rushing totals against the Rebels, who are allowing the 13th-most rushing yards per game in the country (238.5).

"(Speed sweeps) have been working really well for us," center Will Clapp told the Baton Rouge Advocate. "We can't rely on that all season to win us games -- got to be more balanced with our run."

In order for the run game to be more consistently effective, Guice has to get back on track. He hasn't had a 100-yard game since Sept. 9.

"You've got to stop Guice. That's first," Ole Miss coach Matt Luke said. "They do a good job with their speed sweep motions to different people. If you load the box up, they'll hurt you with the speed sweeps. They've got some guys who can beat you on the perimeter. But the big focus is stopping Guice."

The Rebels ended a three-game losing streak with a 57-35 victory against Vanderbilt last week. Before that, they had been outscored by a combined 110-26 in SEC losses to Alabama and Auburn.

"I don't think everything is the way it needs to be," Luke said. "We still have a lot of improvements we need to make offensively and defensively. I think that's important to not let a win mask those things."

Orgeron coached Ole Miss from 2005-07 and was fired after compiling an overall record of 10-25, 3-21 in the SEC (including 0-8 in his final season).

"This game has nothing to do with me. This is about the team," Orgeron said. "I had a tremendous opportunity at Ole Miss. I didn't get it done. It was a stepping stone. It was something I needed, and I'm grateful for that. I'm grateful for the mistakes that happened there. Hopefully I don't make them here."

Luke, who's an interim coach just as Orgeron was last season before being hired full time, was Orgeron's recruiting coordinator for one season (2005).

VDB Free Betting Prediction:  LSU 31, Ole Miss 23

 

 

LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels VDB Sport Betting Odds and Matchup Report

LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels VDB Betting Odds

  Spread MoneyLine Total
LSU Tigers -7 (EVEN) -245 60 (-110)o
Ole Miss Rebels +7 (-1220) +205 60 (-110)u

Team Records

LSU Tigers

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 5-2 4-1 1-1 2-5 2-3 0-2 25.57 19.43 6.14
vs Conf 2-1 1-0 1-1 1-2 1-0 0-2 17.00 25.33 -8.33
Last 3 2-1 1-1 1-0 1-2 1-1 0-1 21.67 21.00 0.67

Ole Miss Rebels

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 3-3 3-0 0-3 1-4-1 1-2 0-2-1 31.83 37.00 -5.17
vs Conf 1-2 1-0 0-2 1-1-1 1-0 0-1-1 27.67 48.33 -20.66
Last 3 1-2 1-0 0-2 1-1-1 1-0 0-1-1 27.67 48.33 -20.66

Betting Odds Trends

LSU Tigers
Louisiana State is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Louisiana State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Louisiana State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisiana State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Louisiana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 7 games on the road
Louisiana State is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Mississippi
Louisiana State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana State's last 5 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
Ole Miss Rebels
Mississippi is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Mississippi is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Mississippi is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Louisiana State
Mississippi is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Louisiana State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing Louisiana State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games when playing at home against Louisiana State

Injuries

Louisiana State

Player   Status/Updated Notes
John Battle S Prob Sat - Stinger - 10/21/17 Battle missed the last game with a stinger but is expected to be available for Saturday's contest against Mississippi.
Toby Weathersby T Prob Sat - Upper Body - 10/18/17 Weathersby missed the last game with an upper-body injury but is expected to be available for Saturday's matchup against Mississippi.
Xavier Lewis CB Ques Sat - Undisclosed - 10/16/17 Lewis missed the last two games for undisclosed reasons and his status is unknown for Saturday's tilt against Mississippi.
Caleb Roddy TE Ques Sat - Undisclosed - 10/16/17 Roddy has missed the last four games due to an undisclosed issue and his status is clouded for Saturday's contest against Mississippi.
Donavaughn Campbell OL Ques Sat - Foot - 10/16/17 Campbell has an injured foot and did not play in the last four games. It is unknown if he will be available Saturday against Mississippi.
Kristian Fulton DB Ques Sat - Undisclosed - 10/16/17 Fulton missed the last four games due to an undisclosed issue and his availability for Saturday's tilt against Mississippi is unknown.
Sci Martin LB Ques Sat - Undisclosed - 10/16/17 Martin missed the last four games battling an undisclosed issue and it is unclear if he will be available Saturday against Mississippi.
K.J. Malone T Out Sat - Knee - 10/17/17 Malone missed the last game due to a knee injury and will not be available Saturday against Mississippi.
Ed Paris S out for season - Knee - 9/26/17 Paris is sidelined with a knee injury and is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
Tyler Shelvin NT out for season - Eligibility - 8/20/17 Shelvin has been deemed ineligible to play by the NCAA for the entire 2017 season.

Mississippi

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Jarrion Street LB Ques Sat - Concussion - 10/17/17 Street has concussion-like symptoms and his availability for Saturday's game against LSU is unknown.
Breon Dixon DB Ques Sat - Disciplinary - 10/16/17 Dixon is dealing with disciplinary issues and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against LSU.
Montrell Custis DB Ques Sat - Disciplinary - 10/16/17 Custis is embroiled with disciplinary issues and it is unknown if he will play against LSU on Saturday.
Gary Wunderlich K Ques Sat - Hamstring - 10/16/17 Wunderlich missed the last game due to an injured hamstring and his status is up in the air for Saturday's matchup against Louisiana State.
Markell Pack WR Out indefinitely - Knee - 10/17/17 Pack has a knee injury and it is unknown as to how long he will be out.
Victor Evans DE Out indefinitely - Leg - 10/17/17 Evans will miss an unknown length of time due to a leg injury.
Ty Quick TE Out indefinitely - Knee - 10/10/17 Quick is battling an injury to his MLC and will miss an extended period of time.
Qaadir Sheppard DE Out indefinitely - Ankle - 10/17/17 Sheppard was out of the lineup in the last two games due to an ankle injury and it is unknown when he will be ready to play.
Eli Johnson C out for season - Knee - 9/14/17 Johnson will miss the remainder of the season due to a torn ACL.

Recent Meetings

  Yard Margins
Date Away Home H Line ATS Tot Rus Pas
10/22/16 MISS 21 LSU 38 -8.5/59 W/P -191 -205 14
11/21/15 LSU 17 MISS 38 -7/58.5 W/U -76 -32 -44
10/25/14 MISS 7 LSU 10 4/45 W/U -93 -127 34
10/19/13 LSU 24 MISS 27 9.5/60 W/U 137 62 75
11/17/12 MISS 35 LSU 41 -19/48 L/O 40 6 34
11/19/11 LSU 52 MISS 3 30.5/46 L/O -275 -217 -58
11/20/10 MISS 36 LSU 43 -14/51.5 L/O -50 24 -74
11/21/09 LSU 23 MISS 25 -6/46 L/O 136 153 -17
11/22/08 MISS 31 LSU 13 -3/54 L/U 194 65 129
11/17/07 LSU 41 MISS 24 20/53.5 W/O 70 -27 97

Louisiana State Last 10

  Yard Margins
Date vs Score Line ATS Tot Rus Pas
10/14/17 AUB W 27-23 6.5/47 W/O 9 -32 41
10/7/17 @ FLA W 17-16 -1.5/42.5 L/U 39 22 17
9/30/17 TROY L 21-24 -20.5/48.5 L/U 65 -44 109
9/23/17 SYR W 35-26 -21.5/56 L/O 30 75 -45
9/16/17 @ MSST L 7-37 -7.5/54.5 L/U -195 -152 -43
9/9/17 CHAT W 45-10 -35/50.5 P/O 212 154 58
9/2/17 @ BYU W 27-0 -15/47 W/U 382 301 81
12/31/16 @ LOU W 29-9 -3/59.5 W/U 174 110 64
11/24/16 @ TAM W 54-39 -6.5/49 W/O 150 110 40
11/19/16 FLA L 10-16 -14/38 L/U 153 93 60

Mississippi Last 10

  Yard Margins
Date vs Score Line ATS Tot Rus Pas
10/14/17 VAN W 57-35 -3/56 W/O 186 64 122
10/7/17 @ AUB L 23-44 21/56 P/O -132 -243 111
9/30/17 @ ALA L 3-66 30/55.5 L/O -360 -277 -83
9/16/17 @ CAL L 16-27 -7/68 L/U 17 -110 127
9/9/17 UTM W 45-23 -31.5/62 L/O 209 -165 374
9/2/17 USA W 47-27 -21.5/59 L/O 157 -68 225
11/26/16 MSST L 20-55 -10/68.5 L/O -38 -249 211
11/19/16 @ VAN L 17-38 -9.5/50 L/O -118 -118 0
11/12/16 @ TAM W 29-28 7/62 W/U 148 23 125
11/5/16 GASO W 37-27 -28/63 L/O 40 -71 111