Houston Astros vs New York Yankees ALCS Game 5 MLB Baseball Sports Odds and Free MLB Expert Picks


Houston Astros
Houston Astros
2-2 (0-2 V)
5:00 pm ET, Wednesday, October 18, 2017
Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
2-2 (2-0 H)
FS1
 
Houston Astros vs New York Yankees ALCS Game 5 MLB Baseball Sports Odds and Free MLB Expert Picks

Masahiro Tanaka and Dallas Keuchel twice squared off in a postseason setting.

Both games went in favor of Keuchel and the Houston Astros.

The next matchup will occur Wednesday in Game 5 of the American League Championship Series at Yankee Stadium, where one team will move within a game of clinching a berth in the World Series.

The series is tied 2-2 after New York rallied for a 6-4 victory in Game 4 on Tuesday. Aaron Judge homered off Lance McCullers Jr. before New York scored four runs in the eighth. Judge's double tied the score, and Gary Sanchez's two-run double off Houston closer Ken Giles gave New York the lead.

"This is a great series," Houston manager A.J. Hinch said. "This is two really good teams fighting for the chance to represent the American League. I don't think anyone thought the series was over two games ago."

The first postseason meeting between Tanaka and Keuchel occurred in the 2015 AL wild-card game in New York. In Houston's 3-0 victory, Keuchel struck out seven and allowed three hits in six innings while Tanaka allowed two runs on four hits in five innings.

The second playoff meeting occurred in the ALCS opener on Friday in Houston. Keuchel allowed four hits in seven scoreless innings while striking out 10. Tanaka gave up two runs on four hits in six innings during the Astros' 2-1 victory.

"He's a very good pitcher," Keuchel said of Tanaka. "And if it weren't for some extraordinary performances, we'd be singing his praises multiple times.

"When I've pitched against him in the regular season and in the postseason, it's a feeling that you have to be on top of your game because there's not going to be a lot of runs produced from our part. That brings a challenge."

In Game 1, Keuchel threw one changeup. In the 2015 wild-card game, he threw the pitch five times. During the regular season, he threw it 13 percent of the time. He threw just seven changeups May 11 in a start at New York.

"It was just the fact that I had some really late movement on my two-seam and my slider was really good, the cutter was decent," Keuchel said of Game 1. "So, I didn't feel the need to change speeds with the changeup, and hopefully that comes into play (Wednesday)."

Including his two playoff wins over Tanaka and the Yankees, Keuchel is 6-2 with a 1.09 ERA in eight starts versus New York, with three of those outings occurring against Tanaka.

Overall, the left-hander is 4-0 with a 1.69 ERA in five postseason appearances (four starts). Before beating the Yankees again, Keuchel allowed one run and three hits in 5 2/3 innings in Game 1 of the AL Division Series against the Boston Red Sox.

"We haven't done a whole lot off him in the starts we've seen him," Yankees manager Joe Girardi said. "Hopefully seeing him twice in one series, our guys are able to adjust a little quicker."

It will be the second postseason series Keuchel is appearing in for a second time. He started Game 3 of the 2015 ALDS against Kansas City, then three days later, he allowed three runs in the eighth inning in a relief appearance in Game 5.

The Yankees are hoping to become the fourth team to win an LCS after losing the first two games since it expanded to a best-of-seven in 1985. New York is 5-0 at home in the postseason after pulling off its biggest postseason comeback at home since Game 7 of the 2003 ALCS against the Red Sox.

Tanaka finished an inconsistent regular-season with a dynamic 15-strikeout showing against the Toronto Blue Jays on Sept. 29. He followed it up with two outstanding postseason starts.

The right-hander pitched seven dominant innings in a 1-0 victory in Game 3 of the ALDS against the Cleveland Indians before running into Keuchel again.

"I think the biggest thing is that I was able to experience the 2015 wild-card game," Tanaka said through an interpreter. "I think having that experience under my belt has helped me pitch the way I'm pitching right now."

Tanaka will be pitching Wednesday on four days' rest. Although he went 5-3 with a 4.04 ERA in eight starts on four days' rest this year, Tanaka said he believes it is not a big deal by now.

"I feel comfortable pitching four days' rest," Tanaka said. "Obviously I've done that through the season and on top of that, I've been here for four years and done that as well. So yes, I do feel comfortable."

VDB Free Betting Prediction Line:  Yankees 4, Astros 3

 

 

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees VDB Sport Betting Odds and Matchup Report

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees VDB Betting Odds

  Spread MoneyLine Total
Houston Astros -1½ (+145) -119 8 (EVEN)o
New York Yankees +1½ (-165) -101 8 (-120)u

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Players Betting Reports

C6

Pitchers Last 3 Starts

D Keuchel (16-5) ERA: 2.73

event date Opponent Result score OU Result ip money
Oct 13, 2017 NYY W 2-1 U 7 $64.00
Oct 6, 2017 BOS W 8-2 O 5.2 $58.00
Sep 26, 2017 TEX W 14-3 O 6 $70.00

Masahiro Tanaka (14-13) ERA: 4.52

event date Opponent Result score OU Result ip money
Oct 13, 2017 HOU L 1-2 U 6 -$100.00
Oct 8, 2017 CLE W 1-0 U 7 $91.00
Sep 29, 2017 TOR W 4-0 U 7 $43.00


Pitcher Recent Starts Vs Opponent

Houston Astros - D Keuchel

Date score Winner ip hits Runs Earned Runs walks strikeouts Decision
Oct 13, 2017 2-1 HOU 7 4 0 0 1 10 Win
May 11, 2017 3-2 HOU 6 5 1 0 1 9 Win
Jul 25, 2016 2-1 NYY 7.2 6 2 2 0 5 Loss
Apr 5, 2016 5-3 HOU 7 3 2 2 4 5 Win
Oct 6, 2015 3-0 HOU 6 3 0 0 1 7 Win

New York Yankees - Masahiro Tanaka

Date score Winner ip hits Runs Earned Runs walks strikeouts Decision
Oct 13, 2017 2-1 HOU 6 4 2 2 1 3 Loss
May 14, 2017 10-7 HOU 1.2 7 8 8 1 3 Loss
Jul 27, 2016 4-1 HOU 5 7 4 4 2 4 Loss
Apr 5, 2016 5-3 HOU 5.2 4 2 2 1 4 No Decision
Oct 6, 2015 3-0 HOU 5 4 2 2 3 3 Loss


Betting Odds Trends

Houston Astros
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 18 games on the road
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston


Injuries

Houston Astros

Fielders   Status/Updated Notes
Jake Marisnick CF out for season - Thumb - 9/14/17 Marisnick sustained a fractured right thumb and is expected to miss six-to-eight weeks, likely ending his season.
Pitchers   Status/Updated Notes
David Paulino SP out for season - Suspension - 10/1/17 Paulino is on the 60-day disabled list with bone spurs in his right elbow and will miss the remainder of the season.
Jandel Gustave RP out for season - Elbow - 6/21/17 Gustave is on the 60-day disabled list while he recovers from season-ending surgery on his right elbow.

New York Yankees

Fielders   Status/Updated Notes
No injuries to report.
Pitchers   Status/Updated Notes
Luis Severino SP Ques Fri - Shoulder - 10/17/17 Severino left his last start with an right shoulder injury and it is unclear if he will make his next start Friday in Game 6 of the ALCS against the Yankees.
Luis Cessa SP out for season - Ribs - 9/1/17 Cessa has been transferred to the 60-day disabled list with a ribcage injury, ending his season.
Michael Pineda SP out for season - Elbow - 7/17/17 Pineda has been transferred to the 60-day disabled list with a partial tear to the UCL in his pitching elbow that will require season-ending Tommy John surgery.

Recent Meetings

Date Home/Away H Starter A Starter Line O/U
10/17/17 NYY 6 - HOU 4 S. Gray L. McCullers Jr. -113/8.5 O
10/16/17 NYY 8 - HOU 1 C. Sabathia C. Morton -128/8.5 O
10/14/17 HOU 2 - NYY 1 J. Verlander L. Severino -117/7.5 U
10/13/17 HOU 2 - NYY 1 D. Keuchel M. Tanaka -158/8 U
7/2/17 HOU 8 - NYY 1 M. Fiers L. Severino 101/8.5 O
7/1/17 HOU 7 - NYY 6 F. Martes J. Montgomery -125/9 O
6/30/17 HOU 4 - NYY 13 L. McCullers Jr. M. Pineda -173/8 O
5/14/17 NYY 7 - HOU 10 M. Tanaka C. Morton -122/8.5 O
5/14/17 NYY 11 - HOU 6 L. Severino M. Fiers -145/9 O
5/12/17 NYY 1 - HOU 5 J. Montgomery L. McCullers Jr. 109/8 U
5/11/17 NYY 2 - HOU 3 M. Pineda D. Keuchel -123/7.5 U
2016 Season
7/27/16 HOU 4 - NYY 1 L. McCullers Jr. M. Tanaka -126/7 U
7/26/16 HOU 3 - NYY 6 D. Fister C. Sabathia -144/8.5 O
7/25/16 HOU 1 - NYY 2 D. Keuchel M. Pineda -145/7 U
4/7/16 NYY 8 - HOU 5 N. Eovaldi M. Fiers -106/8.5 O
4/6/16 NYY 16 - HOU 6 M. Pineda C. McHugh -125/7.5 O
4/5/16 NYY 3 - HOU 5 M. Tanaka D. Keuchel 111/6.5 O
2015 Season
10/6/15 NYY 0 - HOU 3 M. Tanaka D. Keuchel -102/7 U
8/26/15 NYY 2 - HOU 6 M. Pineda C. McHugh -147/7.5 O
8/25/15 NYY 1 - HOU 15 I. Nova D. Keuchel 134/7.5 O

Houston: Last 10 Games

Date vs/Score Line ATS OPS Avg Starter IP Opp Starter IP
10/17/17 @ NYY 4-6 104/8.5 L/O .413 .100 L. McCullers Jr. 6.0 S. Gray 5.0
10/16/17 @ NYY 1-8 118/8.5 L/O .437 .129 C. Morton 3.2 C. Sabathia 6.0
10/14/17 NYY 2-1 -117/7.5 W/U .615 .179 J. Verlander 9.0 L. Severino 4.0
10/13/17 NYY 2-1 -158/8 W/U .426 .200 D. Keuchel 7.0 M. Tanaka 6.0
10/9/17 @ BOS 5-4 -119/10 W/U .913 .308 C. Morton 4.1 R. Porcello 3.0
10/8/17 @ BOS 3-10 -125/9.5 L/O .796 .342 B. Peacock 2.2 D. Fister 1.1
10/6/17 BOS 8-2 -174/8.5 W/O 1.025 .333 D. Keuchel 5.2 D. Pomeranz 2.0
10/5/17 BOS 8-2 -134/7 W/O 1.183 .353 J. Verlander 6.0 C. Sale 5.0
10/1/17 @ BOS 4-3 -125/9 W/U .619 .235 C. McHugh 6.0 H. Velazquez 4.0
9/30/17 @ BOS 3-6 -105/8.5 L/O .688 .242 L. McCullers Jr. 4.1 D. Pomeranz 6.0

NY Yankees: Last 10 Games

Date vs/Score Line ATS OPS Avg Starter IP Opp Starter IP
10/17/17 HOU 6-4 -113/8.5 W/O .889 .267 S. Gray 5.0 L. McCullers Jr. 6.0
10/16/17 HOU 8-1 -128/8.5 W/O .790 .233 C. Sabathia 6.0 C. Morton 3.2
10/14/17 @ HOU 1-2 108/7.5 L/U .446 .161 L. Severino 4.0 J. Verlander 9.0
10/13/17 @ HOU 1-2 146/8 L/U .479 .156 M. Tanaka 6.0 D. Keuchel 7.0
10/11/17 @ CLE 5-2 169/7 W/P .701 .229 C. Sabathia 4.1 C. Kluber 3.2
10/9/17 CLE 7-3 -160/7.5 W/O .733 .222 L. Severino 7.0 T. Bauer 1.2
10/8/17 CLE 1-0 -105/8.5 W/U .646 .185 M. Tanaka 7.0 C. Carrasco 5.2
10/6/17 @ CLE 8-9 x 183/7 L/O .734 .224 C. Sabathia 5.1 C. Kluber 2.2
10/5/17 @ CLE 0-4 124/8 L/U .315 .100 S. Gray 3.1 T. Bauer 6.2
10/3/17 MIN 8-4 -263/7.5 W/O .944 .273 L. Severino 0.1 E. Santana 2.0