Washington State Cougars vs Michigan State Spartans Holiday Bowl Sports Betting Odds and Free NCAA Predictions


Washington State Cougars
Washington State Cougars
(9-3)
9:00 pm ET, Thursday, December 28, 2017
SDCCU Stadium, San Diego
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans
(9-3)
FS1
 
Washington State Cougars vs Michigan State Spartans Holiday Bowl Sports Betting Odds and Free NCAA Predictions

A stark contrast in styles defines the matchup in the Holiday Bowl, pitting No. 21 Washington State against No. 18 Michigan State Thursday at SDCCU Stadium.

For the Pac-12 Conference representative Cougars (9-3), this marks a redo of sorts from a year ago. Washington State brought its prolific passing attack and up-tempo style of play into the 2016 edition of the Holiday Bowl, squaring off against a defense-oriented Big Ten Conference foe, Minnesota.

Defense carried the end result, with the Golden Gophers clawing out a 17-12 win, holding the Cougars to 303 yards of offense. Washington State averages 446.4 yards per game this season, for comparison's sake.

Washington State coach Mike Leach sees a different Cougars team in 2017.

The end result, Leach said, is "hopefully (a) higher scoring" game this time around. That could prove difficult against Michigan State.

In his time at Michigan State, coach Mark Dantonio's teams have thrived with a physically imposing style of football; one that relies on dictating tempo from the line of scrimmage, particularly on defense.

The Spartans (9-3) rank No. 9 nationally in yards allowed per game (297.8) and No. 24 in points allowed per game (20.3). Michigan State held seven opponents to 14 points or fewer in the regular season, while Washington put up 30 or more eight times.

Nevertheless, Dantonio said he sees similarities in the teams based on results.

Indeed, Washington State stakes its reputation largely on the pass-happy air-raid offense for which Leach is credited as an innovator, producing the nation's second-highest per-game passing average (374.8). Quarterback Luke Falk became the Pac-12's all-time career passing leader in November and currently sits at 14,481 yards.

Falk threw to a deep group of receivers throughout his three seasons as Washington State's starting quarterback, and operated behind a stout offensive line, including standout Cody O'Connell. The Cougars also feature a dynamic pass-catching running back in Jamal Morrow.

Michigan State is not so different on the offensive end.

Michigan State features four pass catchers with between 20 and 51 receptions on the season, paced by Felton Davis III. He caught 51 passes for 658 yards with eight touchdowns.

Though not as explosive as Washington State, Michigan State did score at least 30 four times in the regular season.

Likewise, the Cougars are not renowned for defense like Michigan State. But in five of its wins, Washington State held opponents to 21 points or fewer.

Defensive tackle Hercules Mata'afa garnered various awards, including All-America honors and Associated Press Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year.

The defenses should set the tone in either direction. Washington State is coming off just a 14-point performance in the regular-season finale, a Nov. 25 loss to Washington.

Leach said he saw "three Luke Falks" in that game, referring to Falk starting slow, battling to get on track and finishing strong.

For Michigan State, disrupting Washington State's record-setting quarterback is essential.

If there is anything set to slow down Washington State beyond a Spartans defense, keyed by defensive end Kenny Willekes and Khari Willis and Chris Frey, it is the loss of top wide receivers Tavares Martin Jr. and Isaiah Johnson-Mack. Both left the team after the regular season. That leaves freshman Renard Bell and junior Kyle Sweet as the Cougars' leading pass catchers.

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Washington State Cougars vs Michigan State Spartans VDB Sport Betting Odds and Predictions

Washington State Cougars vs Michigan State Spartans Betting Odds

Gm# Team
Opener
277 Michigan State Spartans
44½
278 Washington State Cougars
-3½

Vegas Daily Betting Free Prediction: Michigan State Spartans -1½ and Over/Under 47 according to Bovada Sportsbook

Team Records

Michigan State Spartans

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 9-3 6-1 3-2 7-5 5-2 2-3 23.08 20.25 2.83
vs Conf 7-2 4-0 3-2 5-4 3-1 2-3 21.78 20.11 1.67
Last 3 2-1 1-0 1-1 1-2 0-1 1-1 20.00 20.67 -0.67

Washington State Cougars

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 9-3 7-0 2-3 7-5 5-2 2-3 31.42 24.42 7.00
vs Conf 6-3 4-0 2-3 6-3 4-0 2-3 28.22 26.89 1.33
Last 3 2-1 1-0 1-1 2-1 1-0 1-1 23.67 29.00 -5.33

Betting Odds Trends

Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

Washington State Cougars

Washington State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Washington State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington State's last 9 games

 

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Injuries

Washington State

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Gerard Wicks RB Ques Thurs - Leg - 12/22/17 Wicks missed the last game with a leg injury and it is unclear if he will play in the San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl against Michigan State.
Derek Moore LB Ques Thurs - Undisclosed - 12/22/17 Moore has missed the last three games for undisclosed reasons and it is unclear if he will play in the San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl against Michigan State.
Nate DeRider LB Out indefinitely - Knee - 11/26/17 DeRider has been sidelined with a knee injury and there is no timetable for his return.
Peyton Pelluer LB out for season - Foot - 9/18/17 Pelluer sustained a season-ending foot fracture.
Robert Valencia OL Out indefinitely - Undisclosed - 10/14/17 Valencia has yet to play this season for undisclosed reasons and it is unknown as to how long he will be sidelined.

Michigan State

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Austin Andrews S Out Thurs - Suspension - 12/26/17 Andrews has been suspended for violation of NCAA rules and will not play in the San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl against Washington State.
Lashawn Paulino-Bell DE Out Thurs - Suspension - 12/26/17 Paulino-Bell has been suspended for violation of NCAA rules and will not play in the San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl against Washington State.
Mufi Hunt DL out for season - Knee - 11/21/17 Hunt sustained an ACL and MCL injury, ending his season.
Hussien Kadry TE Out indefinitely - Undisclosed - 10/15/17 Kadry has been sidelined due to an undisclosed issue and it is unknown when he will return to action.
Weston Bridges RB Out indefinitely - Undisclosed - 10/15/17 Bridges has been sidelined due to an undisclosed issue and it is unclear when he might return to the field.
AJ Arcuri T Out indefinitely - Undisclosed - 9/21/17 Arcuri has an unspecified injury and it is not known as to when he will be ready to play.
Matt Carrick G Out indefinitely - Undisclosed - 10/15/17 Carrick has been sidelined by an undisclosed issue and it is unclear when he will be ready to return.
Mustafa Khaleefah T Out indefinitely - Undisclosed - 10/15/17 Khaleefah has been sidelined due to an undisclosed issue and it is unknown when he might be ready to return.
Brandon Sowards WR out for season - Knee - 8/29/17 Sowards has a torn ACL that will cost him the entire 2017 season.

Recent Meetings

  Yard Margins
Date Away Home H Line ATS Tot Rus Pas

Washington State Last 10

  Yard Margins
Date vs Score Line ATS Tot Rus Pas
11/25/17 @ WASH L 14-41 9.5/50 L/O -76 -352 276
11/11/17 @ UTAH W 33-25 -1/50 W/O -29 -35 6
11/4/17 STAN W 24-21 1.5/55.5 W/U 232 0 232
10/28/17 @ ARIZ L 37-58 -0/63 L/O 61 -266 327
10/21/17 COLO W 28-0 -9/52 W/U 232 114 118
10/13/17 @ CAL L 3-37 -16/55 L/U -28 -83 55
10/7/17 @ ORE W 33-10 -1.5/60.5 W/U 92 -45 137
9/29/17 USC W 30-27 4.5/59 W/U 135 -41 176
9/23/17 NEV W 45-7 -28.5/65.5 W/U 409 9 400
9/16/17 ORST W 52-23 -19.5/66 W/O 137 -95 232

Michigan State Last 10

  Yard Margins
Date vs Score Line ATS Tot Rus Pas
11/25/17 @ RUTG W 40-7 -13.5/43 W/O 319 195 124
11/18/17 MD W 17-7 -14/44.5 L/U 87 188 -101
11/11/17 @ OSU L 3-48 17.5/56 L/U -329 -271 -58
11/4/17 PSU W 27-24 9.5/47.5 W/O 8 9 -1
10/28/17 @ NW L 31-39 -1.5/41.5 L/O 108 31 77
10/21/17 IND W 17-9 -6.5/47.5 W/U 21 -6 27
10/14/17 @ MINN W 30-27 -4/41 L/O 75 171 -96
10/7/17 @ MICH W 14-10 13/40 W/U -48 56 -104
9/30/17 IOWA W 17-10 -3.5/44 W/U 74 69 5
9/23/17 ND L 18-38 3/53.5 L/O 141 -31 172

 

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