Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Thursday Night Football Predictions and NFL Expert Picks


Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears
1-2-0 (0-1-0 V)
8:25 pm ET, Thursday, September 28, 2017
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers
2-1-0 (2-0-0 H)
CBS, NFL Network
 
Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Thursday Night Football Predictions and NFL Expert Picks

On Sept. 25, 1960, the Chicago Bears, who were coached by the legendary George Halas, beat the Green Bay Packers, who were coached by the future legend Vince Lombardi, 17-14.

At that point in the bitter rivalry, the Bears held a commanding 50-26-6 edge.

With the Packers sweeping last year's games, the series is knotted 94-94-6. On Thursday night in Green Bay, Wis., the Packers could take the series lead for the first time since 1932.

"That's important for our fan base," Packers coach Mike McCarthy said. "It's important to your tradition and history of the National Football League, being the longest rivalry. And it factors in your preparation. We make that loud and clear each and every year. We spent time on that today in the team meeting. We'll be ready to play Thursday night. I can promise you that."

With Brett Favre and now Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, the Packers have dominated the rivalry recently. Including the 2010 NFC Championship Game, Rodgers is 15-4 against Chicago. His passer rating? A sizzling 105.7.

Protecting Rodgers will be the major challenge for the Packers (2-1), who are coming off an overtime victory vs. Cincinnati. Left tackle David Bakhtiari missed the last two games with an injured hamstring. Right tackle Bryan Bulaga, who missed the first two games with an injured ankle, made his season debut on Sunday but aggravated the injury and missed the final 23 snaps.

Both players were limited participants in practice. Their availability is key because Kyle Murphy, who started for Bulaga in Week 1 and Bakhtiari in Weeks 2 and 3, injured his foot vs. the Bengals and was placed on injured reserve, where he joins second-round pick Jason Spriggs and veteran Don Barclay.

"Protection-wise, we have had to be smart about who's playing out there and what we can handle," Rodgers said. "It's been tough with those guys we've had who've been out. You're talking about two starters and then primary backups who've been out. So, it's been a work in progress but those guys are playing hard."

The Bears (1-2), who are coming off an overtime win against Pittsburgh, will throw an improved cornerback corps at Rodgers. With veteran cornerback Prince Amukamara making his season debut last week, Chicago held Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger to 56.4 percent accuracy. Antonio Brown caught 10 passes but the rest of the receivers combined for four catches in 14 targets.

The question for Chicago offensively is whether it can throw the ball at a competent level. Mike Glennon ranks ninth in the league in completion percentage but next-to-last in yards per attempt and 25th in passer rating.

Against Pittsburgh, he threw two interceptions and completed only one pass to a wide receiver. Chicago's longest pass play this season has gone for just 22 yards.

Where the Bears could make some hay against Green Bay's defense is with the two-headed running game of Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen. Howard, who as a rookie finished second in the NFL in rushing, bounced back from a 7-yard performance in a loss at Tampa Bay to pile up 138 yards and two touchdowns vs. Pittsburgh. The diminutive Cohen ranks second in the NFL with a 6.5-yard average, leads the team with 20 receptions and handles punt returns, as well.

"To have a complement (in the backfield) is, frankly, a lot of fun as an offensive coordinator," McCarthy said. "When you have the ability to put different running styles on the field to attack a defense, I think it's definitely a benefit to the offense."

Howard and Cohen lead a rushing attack that's averaging 5.0 yards per carry. Green Bay, which has relied on an undersized six-defensive-back package, is giving up 4.5 per carry.

"We're going to run the ball," Glennon said. "I think that's what we've established is that we're going to run the ball against every opponent. I don't think this week is going to be any different."

Howard and Cohen could be running behind the Bears' Pro Bowl guards for the first time this season. Kyle Long (ankle) missed the first two games but started last week -- his first game since Nov. 13. Former Packers standout Josh Sitton (rib) missed last week's game and was limited at Tuesday's practice.

"We'll probably be as close to intact as we've been all season," Bears coach John Fox said of his line.

Injuries, as they tend to be for these Thursday games, will be a major story line right up until the inactives are named 90 minutes before kickoff.

Green Bay was down seven starters by the end of the Cincinnati game. Critically for its defense, outside linebacker Nick Perry (hand) and defensive tackle Mike Daniels (hip) returned to practice and were full participants. Perry wore a club-cast on his surgically repaired right hand. Cornerback Davon House (quad) was the only player not to practice and likely will miss a second consecutive game.

Chicago listed only four players on its injury report, including safety Quintin Demps, who won't play due to a broken arm.

"It is what it is. Nobody is going to come rescue us," Fox said. "I think we're playing a game Thursday night, so we'll do our best to get ready for it."

VDB Free Betting Prediction: Packers -7½.

 

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers VDB Sport Betting Odds and Matchup Report

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers VDB Betting Odds

  Spread MoneyLine Total
Chicago Bears +7½ (-115) +270 45½ (-110)o
Green Bay Packers -7½ (-105) -340 45½ (-110)u

Team Records

Chicago Bears

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 1-2 1-1 0-1 2-1 2-0 0-1 15.67 23.00 -7.33
vs Conf 0-2 0-1 0-1 1-1 1-0 0-1 12.00 26.00 -14.00
vs Div 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 23.00 17.00 6.00
Last 3 1-2 1-1 0-1 2-1 2-0 0-1 15.67 23.00 -7.33

Green Bay Packers

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 2-1 2-0 0-1 1-2 1-1 0-1 22.33 22.33 0.00
vs Conf 1-1 1-0 0-1 1-1 1-0 0-1 20.00 21.50 -1.50
vs Div 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-0 27.00 24.00 3.00
Last 3 2-1 2-0 0-1 1-2 1-1 0-1 22.33 22.33 0.00

Betting Odds Trends

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 19 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Chicago is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Green Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Green Bay's last 10 games
Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Green Bay's last 19 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Green Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Injuries

Chicago

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Hroniss Grasu C Ques Thurs - Hand - 9/26/17 Grasu exited the last game with a right hand injury and it is unknown if he will Thursday against the Packers.
Tom Compton T Ques Thurs - Hip - 9/26/17 Compton has a hip injury and it is unknown if it will hinder his availability against the Bears on Thursday.
Mark Sanchez QB Ques Thurs - Neck - 9/26/17 Sanchez missed the last game due to a neck injury and it is unclear if he will be available for Thursday's matchup against the Packers.
Josh Sitton G Ques Thurs - Ribs - 9/26/17 Sitton was held out of the previous game with a rib injury and it is uncertain if he will take the field against the Packers on Thursday.
Deon Bush S Ques Thurs - Hamstring - 9/26/17 Bush was absent from the lineup during the previous game due to a hamstring injury and it is unclear if he will play against the Packers on Thursday.
Quintin Demps S Out indefinitely - Arm - 9/25/17 Demps is sidelined with a broken left arm and there is no timetable for return.
Nick Kwiatkoski LB Out indefinitely - Pectoral - 9/18/17 Kwiatkoski suffered a pectoral injury and will miss a substantial amount of time.
Kevin White WR I-R - Shoulder - 9/11/17 White suffered a broken shoulder blade and is on the injured reserve list.
Jerrell Freeman LB Ques Week 11 - Concussion - 9/12/17 Freeman has landed on injured reserve with a concussion and a pectoral injury. He will be eligible to be activated against the Lions on November 19.
Deiondre' Hall DB Ques Week 10 - Hamstring - 9/4/17 Hall is incapacitated due to a hamstring injury and it is uncertain if he will be activated against the Packers.
Cameron Meredith WR I-R - Knee - 9/3/17 Meredith suffered a torn ACL and a slightly torn MCL his left knee. He is on the injured reserve list as a result.
Patrick Scales LS I-R - Knee - 9/4/17 Scales is on the injured reserve list with a torn ACL.
Eric Kush OL I-R - Hamstring - 8/7/17 Kush will undergo surgery to fix a torn hamstring and is on the injured reserve list.

Green Bay

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Ty Montgomery RB Prob Thurs - Wrist - 9/26/17 Montgomery will likely to be available against the Bears on Thursday despite a wrist injury.
Quinton Dial DT Ques Thurs - Chest - 9/26/17 Dial has a chest injury and it is undetermined if it will deter his availability against the Bears on Thursday.
Kyle Murphy T Ques Thurs - Foot - 9/26/17 Murphy is nursing an injured foot it is unclear if it will deter him from playing Thursday against the Bears.
Lane Taylor G Ques Thurs - Foot - 9/26/17 Taylor left the last game due to a foot injury and his status for Thursday's contest against the Bears is in question.
Marwin Evans S Ques Thurs - Lower Body - 9/26/17 Evans left the previous game with cramping in his lower-body and it is unclear if he will play Thursday against the Bears.
Bryan Bulaga T Ques Thurs - Ankle - 9/26/17 Bulaga exited the last game due to an ankle injury and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Bears on Thursday.
Davon House CB Ques Thurs - Quadricep - 9/26/17 House sat out the previous game due to an injured quadriceps and it is uncertain if he will suit up Thursday's matchup against the Bears.
Nick Perry LB Ques Thurs - Finger - 9/26/17 Perry had surgery to repair a finger injury and it is undetermined if he will return against the Bears on Thursday.
Jake Ryan LB Ques Thurs - Hamstring - 9/26/17 Ryan was absent from the lineup during the last game with a hamstring injury and a concussion. His status for Thursday's tilt against the Bears is undecided.
Randall Cobb WR Ques Sun - Chest - 9/25/17 Cobb was held out of the previous game due to a chest injury and it is unclear if it will prevent him from playing against the Bears in Week 4.
Kentrell Brice S Ques Thurs - Groin - 9/26/17 Brice sat out the last game due to a groin injury and it is unknown if it will keep him out of the lineup Thursday against the Bears.
Mike Daniels DT Ques Thurs - Hip - 9/26/17 Daniels was held out of the previous game due to a hip injury and his availability against the Bears on Sunday is in question.
David Bakhtiari T Ques Thurs - Hamstring - 9/26/17 Bakhtiari missed his second-straight game due to an injured hamstring and it is uncertain if he will be available against the Bears on Thursday.
Brett Goode LS Ques Week 13 - Hamstring - 9/25/17 Goode has landed on injured reserve with a hamstring injury and it is uncertain if he will be activated December 3 against the Buccaneers.
Jason Spriggs T Elig Week 12 - Hamstring - 9/21/17 Spriggs suffered an injury to his hamstring and has landed on injured reserve. If designated for return, the earliest he could be activated is Week 12 against the Steelers.
Don Barclay T Ques Week 7 - Foot - 9/3/17 Barclay has been designated for the Injured Reserve/Designated for Return list due to a foot injury and it is unknown if he will be activated October 22 against the Saints.
Herb Waters CB I-R - Shoulder - 8/6/17 Waters is on injured reserve with a shoulder injury.
Vince Biegel LB Ques Week 7 - Ankle - 9/2/17 Biegel is on the PUP list while recuperating from surgery to repair a Jones fracture in his foot and it is undetermined if he will be activated October 22 against the Saints.
Demetri Goodson CB Ques Week 7 - Knee - 7/27/17 Goodson is on the PUP list while he recuperates from ACL surgery and his status for Week 7 against the Saints is up in the air.

Recent Meetings

  Chicago Green Bay
Date Away/Home Line ATS Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
12/18/16 GB (30) - CHI (27) 4.5/40 CHI/O 449 95 354 451 226 225
10/20/16 CHI (10) - GB (26) -7.5/46.5 GB/U 189 69 120 406 103 303
11/26/15 CHI (17) - GB (13) -7.5/45 CHI/U 290 101 189 365 177 188
9/13/15 GB (31) - CHI (23) 6/48.5 GB/O 402 189 213 322 133 189
11/9/14 CHI (14) - GB (55) -9.5/53 GB/O 311 55 256 451 132 319
9/28/14 GB (38) - CHI (17) 2/51 GB/O 496 235 261 358 56 302
12/29/13 GB (33) - CHI (28) 3/51 GB/O 345 121 224 473 160 313
11/4/13 CHI (27) - GB (20) -10/50.5 CHI/U 442 171 271 312 199 113
12/16/12 GB (21) - CHI (13) 3/43 GB/U 190 83 107 391 113 278
9/13/12 CHI (10) - GB (23) -5/50.5 GB/U 168 94 74 321 106 215

Chicago  Last 10

  Yards Per Play
Date vs Score Line ATS Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
9/24/17 PIT W 23-17 7/43.5 W/U 22 150 -128 0.0 1.7 -1.6
9/17/17 @ TB L 7-29 7/44 L/U -1 -97 96 0.3 -2.2 0.2
9/10/17 ATL L 17-23 6.5/48 W/U -71 61 -132 -1.9 3.8 -5.9
8/31/17 CLE L 0-25 -4.5/35.5 L/U -221 -10 -211 -2.9 -0.5 -4.2
8/27/17 @ TEN W 19-7 3/43.5 W/U 9 17 -8 -0.7 -0.2 -0.7
8/19/17 @ ARI W 24-23 1/40.5 W/O -24 62 -86 -0.0 1.2 0.4
8/10/17 DEN L 17-24 -1/36.5 L/O 82 67 15 -0.9 0.7 -2.8
1/1/17 @ MIN L 10-38 6/44 L/O -51 59 -110 -0.4 0.5 -0.4
12/24/16 WAS L 21-41 3/49 L/O -20 -68 48 -0.5 -0.6 -1.4
12/18/16 GB L 27-30 4.5/40 W/O -2 -131 129 -1.1 -4.8 1.0

Green Bay  Last 10

  Yards Per Play
Date vs Score Line ATS Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
9/24/17 CIN W 27-24 -7/47.5 L/O 43 -46 89 0.5 0.1 -0.4
9/17/17 @ ATL L 23-34 3/55 L/O 3 -82 85 -1.0 -1.3 -1.8
9/10/17 SEA W 17-9 -2.5/49.5 W/U 145 -6 151 0.3 -2.0 1.8
8/31/17 LAR W 24-10 -3/37.5 W/U 32 65 -33 0.4 1.6 -0.7
8/26/17 @ DEN L 17-20 3/42.5 P/U -34 -12 -22 -0.4 0.5 -1.3
8/19/17 @ WAS W 21-17 3/39 W/U -69 46 -115 -0.6 0.9 -1.1
8/10/17 PHI W 24-9 1/38.5 W/U -61 0 -61 0.4 0.1 0.9
1/22/17 @ ATL L 21-44 6.5/59.5 L/O -126 -2 -124 -1.3 2.5 -4.4
1/15/17 @ DAL W 34-31 5.5/52.5 W/O -16 -51 35 -0.0 -0.6 -0.1
1/8/17 NYG W 38-13 -5/46.5 W/O 41 5 36 0.3 -1.1 1.6