Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs College Football Betting Odds and Free Sports Picks


Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide
9-0 (3-0 V)
7:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 11, 2017
Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs
7-2 (5-0 H)
ESPN
 
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs College Football Betting Odds and Free Sports Picks

For Alabama No. 1 in the polls, but No. 2 in the College Football Playoff selection committee rankings -- this week will be an adjustment.

The Crimson Tide is coming off a physical 24-10 win over LSU. The Tigers field a power-run offense, which takes a toll on defenders.

Now, the Crimson Tide must turn its attention to Mississippi State, a physical team that also prefers to spread defenses out.

"I think Mississippi State is really a good team," Alabama coach Nick Saban said while praising Bulldogs coach Dan Mullen. "They've had a great year. They've won seven games this year. Dan has done a really good job there in the years that he's been there. Great offensive coach. Always presents a lot of issues and problems for the defense to adjust to."

Alabama (9-0, 6-0 SEC) and Mississippi State (7-2, 3-2) are set to meet Saturday night inside Davis-Wade Stadium.

On the opposite side, Mississippi State is faced with preparing for one of the top teams in the country. Alabama has won 37 of its past 39 games since the start of the 2015 season.

Mississippi State has lost its nine matchups against Alabama.

"Great challenge for our guys this week," Mullen said. "Obviously, playing the best team in the country. A team that's really been the dominant program in all of college football over the last 10 years. Not everyone gets to play them, but we get to play them every year. We know them well."

Alabama is tasked with slowing Mississippi State quarterback Nick Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick is fifth in the SEC, averaging 89 rushing yards per game.

He's accounted for 25 total touchdowns on the year. His 12 rushing touchdowns are tied for second in the SEC.

"They have a lot of quarterback runs, so basically you're playing against 'wildcat' at every snap," Saban said.

"But because it's a quarterback and he has a great ability to throw, that's something you have to take into consideration and make sure you can defend their passing game as well. Then when they do pass, his ability to scramble and run also creates problems for the defense.

"Any of these guys that are athletic enough to make plays with their feet, can execute quarterback runs and do it with a level of toughness that is equal to a running back, and then they have the pocket passing to go out there and make plays in the passing game, I think those guys create lots of problems for everybody on defense, not just linebackers."

Conversely, Mullen will be in search of ways to move the ball against Alabama's defense. The Bulldogs were outgained 615 to 274 against Alabama last season, managing just three points in the blowout loss.

Alabama ranks among the top teams in the SEC in nearly every statistical category. Mullen hasn't noticed a drop-off in the Crimson Tide's defense, which will be without two linebackers who were injured last week -- Shaun Dion Hamilton and Mack Wilson. Moreover, star defensive back Minkah Fitzpatrick was bothered by a hamstring injury last Saturday but was moving well in practice Tuesday.

"They got one of the top defenses, if not the best defense in the country," Mullen said. "They come at you with a lot of depth and rotate a lot of guys through. They have really big, physically-style guys up front. They're very disciplined and fundamentally sound. They have great tackling linebackers. They also have guys that can cover you throughout the entire secondary."

The teams are currently on different paths. Alabama is back in the hunt to make the College Football Playoff for the fourth consecutive year. The Crimson Tide also has the inside track to win the SEC championship for the fourth straight year.

Mississippi State likely can't win the SEC Western Division, but a win over the Crimson Tide could put the Bulldogs in a great position to make a New Year's Six Bowl at the end of the year.

Alabama knows Mississippi State is a dangerous team.

"This is all-around a really good team and a really challenging place to play and our players need to be ready to respond to it the right way," Saban said.

VDB Free Betting Prediction: Alabama 45, Mississippi State 21

 


 

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs VDB Sport Betting Odds and Matchup Report

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs VDB Betting Odds

  Spread MoneyLine Total
Alabama Crimson Tide -14 (-105) -550 52 (-115)o
Mississippi State Bulldogs +14  (-115) +375 52 (-105)u

Team Records

Alabama Crimson Tide

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 9-0 7-0 2-0 4-5 3-4 1-1 40.89 9.78 31.11
vs Conf 6-0 4-0 2-0 3-3 2-2 1-1 43.67 8.00 35.67
Last 3 3-0 3-0 0-0 1-2 1-2 0-0 36.67 8.67 28.00

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Name Record Home Away ATS ATS Home ATS Away Offense Defense Diff
Overall 7-2 5-0 2-2 6-3 4-1 2-2 33.89 18.00 15.89
vs Conf 3-2 2-0 1-2 3-2 2-0 1-2 26.00 21.60 4.40
Last 3 3-0 2-0 1-0 2-1 1-1 1-0 38.00 14.67 23.33

Betting Odds Trends

Injuries

Alabama

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Jonah Williams OL Ques Sat - Undisclosed - 11/8/17 Williams is dealing with an unspecified injury, leaving his availability against Mississippi State on Saturday foggy.
Minkah Fitzpatrick DB Ques Sat - Hamstring - 11/6/17 Fitzpatrick is nursing a hamstring injury and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against Mississippi State.
Mack Wilson LB Mid Dec - Foot - 11/6/17 Wilson is expected to miss four-to-six weeks due to an injured foot.
Shaun Dion Hamilton LB out for season - Knee - 11/5/17 Hamilton suffered a fractured kneecap and is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
Brandon Kennedy OL Out indefinitely - Ankle - 10/12/17 Kennedy underwent surgery for a broken ankle and is expected to miss the remainder of the year.
Miller Forristall TE out for season - Knee - 9/18/17 Forristall sustained a torn ACL in his knee and is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
Christian Miller LB out for season - Bicep - 9/3/17 Miller is expected to miss the remainder of the season due to a torn biceps muscle.

Mississippi State

Player   Status/Updated Notes
Keith Mixon WR Prob Sat - Ankle - 11/7/17 Mixon has an ankle injury but is expected to play Saturday against Alabama.
Gerri Green LB Ques Sat - Ankle - 11/7/17 Green has an ankle injury and it is unclear if he will play Saturday against Alabama.
Donald Gray WR Ques Sat - Groin - 11/6/17 Gray missed the last game battling a groin injury and it is undetermined if he will be available Saturday against Alabama.
Gabe Myles WR Ques Sat - Foot - 11/6/17 Myles missed the last two games due to a foot injury and his availability for Saturday's contest against Alabama is unclear.
Michael Story OL Ques Sat - Knee - 11/6/17 Story missed the last three games with a knee injury and his status for Saturday's tilt against Alabama is up in the air.
Chauncey Rivers DL out for season - Eligibility - 9/4/17 Rivers has been deemed academically ineligible to play for the entire 2017 season by the NCAA.
Malik Dear WR out for season - Knee - 10/10/17 Dear is recovering from a torn ACL and will miss the remainder of the season.

Recent Meetings

  Yard Margins
Date Away Home H Line ATS Tot Rus Pas
11/12/16 MSST 3 ALA 51 -28.5/52.5 W/O -341 -124 -217
11/14/15 ALA 31 MSST 6 7/51.5 L/U 14 -146 160
11/15/14 MSST 20 ALA 25 -10/55.5 L/U 93 14 79
11/16/13 ALA 20 MSST 7 23.5/54 W/U -186 -143 -43
10/27/12 MSST 7 ALA 38 -22/45 W/P -158 -132 -26
11/12/11 ALA 24 MSST 7 17.5/44.5 W/U -255 -211 -44
11/13/10 MSST 10 ALA 30 -13/45.5 W/U -153 -26 -127
11/14/09 ALA 31 MSST 3 10.5/43.5 L/U -231 -138 -93
11/15/08 MSST 7 ALA 32 -21/42.5 W/U -197 -163 -34
11/10/07 ALA 12 MSST 17 4/49 W/U -59 -38 -21

Alabama Last 10

  Yard Margins
Date vs Score Line ATS Tot Rus Pas
11/4/17 LSU W 24-10 -20.5/45 L/U -7 -35 28
10/21/17 TENN W 45-7 -36.5/51 W/O 496 208 288
10/14/17 ARK W 41-9 -37/53.5 L/U 269 281 -12
10/7/17 @ TAM W 27-19 -25/56.5 L/U 47 161 -114
9/30/17 MISS W 66-3 -30/55.5 W/O 360 277 83
9/23/17 @ VAN W 59-0 -19.5/42 W/O 599 456 143
9/16/17 CSU W 41-23 -31/55.5 L/O 96 95 1
9/9/17 FRES W 41-10 -42.5/54 L/U 210 234 -24
9/2/17 @ FSU W 24-7 -7.5/51 W/U 19 133 -114
1/9/17 CLEM L 31-35 -6.5/51 L/O -135 130 -265

Mississippi State Last 10

  Yard Margins
Date vs Score Line ATS Tot Rus Pas
11/4/17 MASS W 34-23 -33/56.5 L/O 43 127 -84
10/28/17 @ TAM W 35-14 -3.5/55.5 W/U 84 132 -48
10/21/17 UK W 45-7 -14/54.5 W/U 181 167 14
10/14/17 BYU W 35-10 -23/49.5 W/U 370 277 93
9/30/17 @ AUB L 10-49 7.5/51 L/O -160 -50 -110
9/23/17 @ UGA L 3-31 2.5/50 L/U -124 -26 -98
9/16/17 LSU W 37-7 7.5/54.5 W/U 195 152 43
9/9/17 @ LT W 57-21 -10.5/66.5 W/O 144 175 -31
9/2/17 CHSO W 49-0 -21.5/64 W/U 522 263 259
12/26/16 M-OH W 17-16 -14.5/57.5 L/U -98 29 -127

 

NCAA Football Menu